The signal, graded mechanically against its own history — misses included
| Stress bucket that day | Weeks | Price +10%+ within 8w | Median 8w change | Price −10%+ within 8w |
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| Crop | Bucket | Weeks | +10%+ share | Median change |
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| Date | Crop | Score | Price then | 8 weeks later | Change |
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| Date | Crop | Score | Price then | 8 weeks later | Change |
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