{"event":{"id":"tomato-chittoor-shock-2026","crop":"tomato","crop_name":"Tomato","basin":"chittoor","basin_name":"Chittoor-Annamayya (AP)","season":"sw","season_label":"SW monsoon 2026","start_date":"2026-08-28","status":"active","trigger_reasons":["crop stress 77 >= 60 with basin deficit -12.1%"],"initial":{"date":"2026-08-28","deviation_pct":-10.2,"percentile":45.8,"stress":70,"price_median":1500,"price_wow_pct":null},"current":{"date":"2026-08-31","deviation_pct":-12.1,"percentile":43.1,"stress":77,"price_median":2100,"price_wow_pct":61.5},"timeline":[{"date":"2026-08-28","deviation_pct":-10.2,"percentile":45.8,"stress":70,"price_median":1500,"price_wow_pct":null},{"date":"2026-08-29","deviation_pct":-10.7,"percentile":45.8,"stress":72,"price_median":1500,"price_wow_pct":null},{"date":"2026-08-30","deviation_pct":-11.2,"percentile":45.8,"stress":74,"price_median":1500,"price_wow_pct":25.0},{"date":"2026-08-31","deviation_pct":-12.1,"percentile":43.1,"stress":77,"price_median":2100,"price_wow_pct":61.5}]},"basin_series":{"days":["2026-06-01","2026-06-02","2026-06-03","2026-06-04","2026-06-05","2026-06-06","2026-06-07","2026-06-08","2026-06-09","2026-06-10","2026-06-11","2026-06-12","2026-06-13","2026-06-14","2026-06-15","2026-06-16","2026-06-17","2026-06-18","2026-06-19","2026-06-20","2026-06-21","2026-06-22","2026-06-23","2026-06-24","2026-06-25","2026-06-26","2026-06-27","2026-06-28","2026-06-29","2026-06-30","2026-07-01","2026-07-02","2026-07-03","2026-07-04","2026-07-05","2026-07-06","2026-07-07","2026-07-08","2026-07-09","2026-07-10","2026-07-11","2026-07-12","2026-07-13","2026-07-14","2026-07-15","2026-07-16","2026-07-17","2026-07-18","2026-07-19","2026-07-20","2026-07-21","2026-07-22","2026-07-23","2026-07-24","2026-07-25","2026-07-26","2026-07-27","2026-07-28","2026-07-29","2026-07-30","2026-07-31","2026-08-01","2026-08-02","2026-08-03","2026-08-04","2026-08-05","2026-08-06","2026-08-07","2026-08-08","2026-08-09","2026-08-10","2026-08-11","2026-08-12","2026-08-13","2026-08-14","2026-08-15","2026-08-16","2026-08-17","2026-08-18","2026-08-19","2026-08-20","2026-08-21","2026-08-22","2026-08-23","2026-08-24","2026-08-25","2026-08-26","2026-08-27","2026-08-28","2026-08-29","2026-08-30","2026-08-31"],"cum":[0.3,2.6,7.5,8.0,11.3,12.5,13.1,13.7,15.3,17.1,19.2,34.6,35.0,40.6,40.7,41.3,41.5,46.1,46.6,47.4,51.7,57.9,59.0,60.0,62.9,65.5,70.2,78.5,82.6,84.1,84.1,84.8,86.1,87.1,88.8,88.8,89.9,90.6,91.4,92.3,92.3,92.3,92.3,92.3,92.3,92.3,101.8,104.8,105.6,111.2,112.8,117.4,119.2,120.5,122.3,125.7,126.8,127.8,131.3,132.7,136.7,144.1,148.0,151.1,165.3,171.4,175.2,179.9,183.3,185.1,193.6,194.5,195.6,198.5,198.9,199.5,201.6,203.5,205.4,209.2,212.7,215.6,217.2,224.1,227.1,231.6,235.2,235.4,236.4,237.5,238.8,238.8],"normal_cum":[3.7,8.2,12.1,15.7,20.6,24.9,28.6,31.6,33.9,36.7,40.2,43.7,49.4,55.9,57.7,59.7,62.2,64.3,66.1,67.4,69.5,72.4,74.5,76.4,77.9,79.2,81.3,84.2,86.5,88.7,91.7,93.6,95.5,96.7,99.2,101.7,104.2,106.5,109.9,112.8,115.7,118.1,120.3,122.5,125.7,129.9,132.4,135.9,139.3,142.0,145.3,148.4,151.5,154.5,158.4,161.0,164.4,166.9,169.1,172.2,176.0,177.9,180.4,183.3,185.3,187.7,189.6,191.4,192.7,194.9,197.0,200.5,202.8,205.9,208.8,212.9,217.4,221.4,225.1,228.1,231.3,236.5,241.9,245.7,248.7,255.9,258.7,261.0,263.2,266.0,268.7,271.7],"analogs":{"driest":{"year":1994,"cum":[5.5,6.5,6.8,7.0,7.5,8.6,15.4,18.7,22.6,23.1,25.5,27.1,29.4,30.1,30.1,30.1,30.2,30.2,30.2,30.2,30.2,30.2,30.3,30.6,32.8,33.2,33.2,33.2,34.5,34.9,35.9,46.1,53.8,54.5,58.6,60.1,64.0,64.4,64.4,64.6,65.0,68.0,69.1,70.5,71.2,71.2,71.2,71.2,71.4,71.5,71.5,71.8,74.2,74.4,74.5,74.5,78.9,79.5,80.3,81.0,81.1,81.5,81.5,81.8,81.8,81.8,81.8,81.8,81.8,81.8,81.8,85.0,90.2,94.2,97.2,99.7,101.2,101.8,102.8,102.8,102.8,114.8,127.2,128.1,128.3,130.8,132.9,132.9,133.8,136.1,136.1,136.4]},"wettest":{"year":1996,"cum":[0.6,5.8,8.2,8.6,17.5,26.4,38.2,45.0,73.2,104.2,112.1,122.3,182.2,333.0,341.1,344.0,348.7,356.5,364.2,368.6,369.2,371.1,371.2,371.2,371.2,371.2,371.2,371.2,371.2,371.2,371.2,371.2,371.2,371.2,375.3,381.2,394.4,405.0,413.7,424.0,430.0,433.5,436.0,437.1,438.6,442.1,443.6,448.5,449.3,450.6,451.2,452.2,454.5,456.0,456.2,456.3,456.4,456.4,457.1,457.1,457.1,457.1,457.1,457.1,457.3,457.3,457.3,461.6,461.8,461.8,462.2,470.9,475.8,476.4,477.0,477.8,484.2,489.2,496.0,508.3,514.2,531.0,550.8,566.1,577.6,590.8,592.2,592.5,592.9,592.9,592.9,593.2]}}},"price_series":[{"date":"2026-08-24","median_modal":1200,"n_mandis":13},{"date":"2026-08-25","median_modal":1300,"n_mandis":13},{"date":"2026-08-26","median_modal":1500,"n_mandis":7},{"date":"2026-08-27","median_modal":1400,"n_mandis":10},{"date":"2026-08-28","median_modal":1500,"n_mandis":13},{"date":"2026-08-29","median_modal":1500,"n_mandis":14},{"date":"2026-08-30","median_modal":1500,"n_mandis":3},{"date":"2026-08-31","median_modal":2100,"n_mandis":11}],"sources":{"rainfall":"ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo; 1991-2020 normals (not official IMD figures)","prices":"Agmarknet via data.gov.in (GODL-India)","arrivals":"missing - no free public source"}}