{"event":{"id":"onion-malwa-shock-2026","crop":"onion","crop_name":"Onion","basin":"malwa","basin_name":"Malwa: Indore-Ujjain-Dewas (MP)","start_date":"2026-08-26","status":"active","trigger_reasons":["crop stress 65 >= 60 with basin deficit -13.2%"],"initial":{"date":"2026-08-26","deviation_pct":-13.0,"percentile":40.3,"stress":64,"price_wow_pct":null},"current":{"date":"2026-08-27","deviation_pct":-13.2,"percentile":34.7,"stress":65,"price_median":3689,"price_wow_pct":null},"timeline":[{"date":"2026-08-26","deviation_pct":-13.0,"percentile":34.7,"stress":65,"price_median":4100,"price_wow_pct":null},{"date":"2026-08-27","deviation_pct":-13.2,"percentile":34.7,"stress":65,"price_median":3689,"price_wow_pct":null}]},"basin_series":{"days":["2026-06-01","2026-06-02","2026-06-03","2026-06-04","2026-06-05","2026-06-06","2026-06-07","2026-06-08","2026-06-09","2026-06-10","2026-06-11","2026-06-12","2026-06-13","2026-06-14","2026-06-15","2026-06-16","2026-06-17","2026-06-18","2026-06-19","2026-06-20","2026-06-21","2026-06-22","2026-06-23","2026-06-24","2026-06-25","2026-06-26","2026-06-27","2026-06-28","2026-06-29","2026-06-30","2026-07-01","2026-07-02","2026-07-03","2026-07-04","2026-07-05","2026-07-06","2026-07-07","2026-07-08","2026-07-09","2026-07-10","2026-07-11","2026-07-12","2026-07-13","2026-07-14","2026-07-15","2026-07-16","2026-07-17","2026-07-18","2026-07-19","2026-07-20","2026-07-21","2026-07-22","2026-07-23","2026-07-24","2026-07-25","2026-07-26","2026-07-27","2026-07-28","2026-07-29","2026-07-30","2026-07-31","2026-08-01","2026-08-02","2026-08-03","2026-08-04","2026-08-05","2026-08-06","2026-08-07","2026-08-08","2026-08-09","2026-08-10","2026-08-11","2026-08-12","2026-08-13","2026-08-14","2026-08-15","2026-08-16","2026-08-17","2026-08-18","2026-08-19","2026-08-20","2026-08-21","2026-08-22","2026-08-23","2026-08-24","2026-08-25","2026-08-26","2026-08-27"],"cum":[8.2,8.5,8.7,9.7,17.5,18.1,18.5,19.1,19.1,19.7,19.7,20.0,20.3,26.9,29.1,30.2,33.9,34.6,34.7,37.0,38.3,43.0,55.3,70.4,74.4,80.1,96.8,103.6,119.9,128.4,132.6,150.5,159.4,178.2,186.9,192.7,213.5,231.6,233.4,233.8,234.3,234.6,234.7,235.0,235.7,236.1,237.1,238.2,243.8,259.5,274.2,296.9,309.1,313.5,317.1,318.5,324.8,337.3,348.7,380.2,408.9,414.7,418.0,420.3,422.4,424.4,429.4,430.9,431.6,436.9,474.0,504.1,559.4,565.5,572.1,575.3,576.1,577.2,578.9,581.4,583.0,583.8,588.5,590.8,593.3,603.2,640.2,643.3],"normal_cum":[0.3,0.6,1.4,4.2,4.8,5.5,6.7,9.6,11.9,14.2,17.7,20.2,22.8,26.9,31.6,39.1,43.7,46.8,50.0,53.5,55.7,60.6,65.1,71.9,84.2,104.0,114.4,123.0,129.2,132.8,136.2,143.1,156.1,170.7,179.5,187.3,194.9,206.2,220.2,237.6,251.9,262.1,269.2,276.3,283.9,298.9,308.5,316.9,324.9,332.8,345.7,357.4,371.2,381.7,393.6,409.9,428.6,448.5,460.5,471.2,481.5,492.6,503.7,511.2,520.7,531.1,541.9,558.3,579.6,590.0,598.8,605.6,616.6,625.2,630.9,638.8,643.8,648.9,654.9,663.8,679.6,692.5,700.1,710.2,720.6,728.3,735.9,741.5],"analogs":{"driest":{"year":2000,"cum":[0.1,1.0,4.0,6.3,10.4,10.4,18.8,30.2,32.3,32.4,32.4,32.4,32.4,32.4,32.4,32.4,32.4,32.4,32.7,32.9,32.9,32.9,33.0,33.0,33.0,33.0,33.2,33.4,35.8,46.7,54.4,58.0,68.9,73.1,73.1,73.2,76.9,81.3,100.0,103.4,117.3,134.8,149.0,151.2,153.3,176.1,177.8,179.8,180.2,191.6,201.8,202.8,203.8,203.9,203.9,203.9,203.9,204.2,209.4,210.2,210.7,210.7,210.7,210.7,211.1,211.2,211.2,211.2,211.2,213.2,228.5,234.4,251.1,261.0,262.4,274.9,277.0,279.0,280.7,282.8,297.4,302.9,308.6,312.0,314.3,314.8,318.0,323.5]},"wettest":{"year":2019,"cum":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.2,1.7,1.8,4.2,5.7,5.9,6.0,6.4,15.0,16.1,17.6,30.8,32.5,44.7,55.9,66.0,71.0,76.5,83.3,97.2,99.0,102.8,131.8,217.2,275.4,347.2,362.6,369.2,370.6,371.4,371.9,372.7,373.7,373.8,374.0,374.2,374.5,375.6,375.8,379.2,396.4,397.3,398.0,398.4,403.7,415.7,510.6,522.2,559.1,597.1,643.4,673.3,687.8,709.7,719.8,741.7,760.5,823.0,870.0,888.0,892.5,899.5,900.5,906.7,935.8,991.3,996.8,1003.9,1015.7,1032.7,1035.0,1038.2,1039.2,1040.2,1054.2,1083.1,1106.3,1126.3]}}},"price_series":[{"date":"2026-08-24","median_modal":4200,"n_mandis":22},{"date":"2026-08-25","median_modal":3925,"n_mandis":9},{"date":"2026-08-26","median_modal":4100,"n_mandis":8},{"date":"2026-08-27","median_modal":3689,"n_mandis":11}],"sources":{"rainfall":"ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo; 1991-2020 normals (not official IMD figures)","prices":"Agmarknet via data.gov.in (GODL-India)","arrivals":"missing - no free public source"}}