{"event":{"id":"onion-kurnool-shock-2026","crop":"onion","crop_name":"Onion","basin":"kurnool","basin_name":"Kurnool (AP)","start_date":"2026-08-26","status":"active","trigger_reasons":["season deviation -32.2% <= -25.0%","crop stress 65 >= 60 with basin deficit -32.2%"],"initial":{"date":"2026-08-26","deviation_pct":-29.7,"percentile":17.7,"stress":64,"price_wow_pct":null},"current":{"date":"2026-08-27","deviation_pct":-32.2,"percentile":15.3,"stress":65,"price_median":3689,"price_wow_pct":null},"timeline":[{"date":"2026-08-26","deviation_pct":-29.7,"percentile":15.3,"stress":65,"price_median":4100,"price_wow_pct":null},{"date":"2026-08-27","deviation_pct":-32.2,"percentile":15.3,"stress":65,"price_median":3689,"price_wow_pct":null}]},"basin_series":{"days":["2026-06-01","2026-06-02","2026-06-03","2026-06-04","2026-06-05","2026-06-06","2026-06-07","2026-06-08","2026-06-09","2026-06-10","2026-06-11","2026-06-12","2026-06-13","2026-06-14","2026-06-15","2026-06-16","2026-06-17","2026-06-18","2026-06-19","2026-06-20","2026-06-21","2026-06-22","2026-06-23","2026-06-24","2026-06-25","2026-06-26","2026-06-27","2026-06-28","2026-06-29","2026-06-30","2026-07-01","2026-07-02","2026-07-03","2026-07-04","2026-07-05","2026-07-06","2026-07-07","2026-07-08","2026-07-09","2026-07-10","2026-07-11","2026-07-12","2026-07-13","2026-07-14","2026-07-15","2026-07-16","2026-07-17","2026-07-18","2026-07-19","2026-07-20","2026-07-21","2026-07-22","2026-07-23","2026-07-24","2026-07-25","2026-07-26","2026-07-27","2026-07-28","2026-07-29","2026-07-30","2026-07-31","2026-08-01","2026-08-02","2026-08-03","2026-08-04","2026-08-05","2026-08-06","2026-08-07","2026-08-08","2026-08-09","2026-08-10","2026-08-11","2026-08-12","2026-08-13","2026-08-14","2026-08-15","2026-08-16","2026-08-17","2026-08-18","2026-08-19","2026-08-20","2026-08-21","2026-08-22","2026-08-23","2026-08-24","2026-08-25","2026-08-26","2026-08-27"],"cum":[0.9,3.5,4.9,6.9,7.5,19.2,23.1,23.8,23.8,23.8,23.8,23.8,24.0,24.1,24.1,24.1,24.1,24.2,24.2,24.2,24.3,24.3,24.7,25.7,27.2,27.3,30.9,38.3,42.0,42.4,43.0,48.3,51.8,53.5,53.9,55.1,56.4,58.1,59.5,59.5,59.5,59.5,59.5,59.5,59.5,59.6,69.4,73.5,78.8,88.8,91.5,96.3,97.0,97.7,98.4,100.4,104.0,106.6,113.0,115.2,119.7,120.2,125.9,143.9,151.2,153.6,160.1,163.5,164.7,165.6,167.4,172.9,176.5,182.1,187.6,191.9,193.4,193.8,196.2,198.9,200.1,200.9,201.6,213.9,219.0,220.9,222.2,222.6],"normal_cum":[2.8,5.9,7.8,11.0,16.0,22.9,26.5,29.5,32.3,36.1,43.2,48.6,53.8,57.8,61.3,63.6,65.6,68.6,72.2,74.3,76.1,79.4,82.3,84.5,86.4,88.7,92.0,95.5,99.7,102.0,103.8,107.8,109.2,110.8,114.2,118.6,122.8,128.4,132.4,136.0,139.6,142.8,146.8,150.8,155.2,158.8,161.9,165.9,169.5,172.2,175.3,179.5,184.5,189.5,194.1,199.4,203.2,207.9,212.3,215.2,218.5,222.4,227.5,232.9,236.5,240.8,243.0,245.4,248.4,253.1,256.5,259.1,262.1,264.3,266.1,269.8,275.5,278.2,281.1,285.5,290.9,296.1,301.3,305.7,311.0,317.1,321.7,328.3],"analogs":{"driest":{"year":1994,"cum":[2.4,7.7,8.8,9.7,18.7,19.1,20.3,21.1,24.5,30.6,33.1,35.3,35.4,39.6,39.8,39.8,40.0,40.0,40.1,40.9,40.9,40.9,41.3,41.4,41.4,41.4,41.8,42.8,46.6,46.9,47.5,64.7,68.1,73.5,74.5,75.0,77.5,78.9,81.7,89.3,93.9,100.1,103.1,109.8,114.6,115.4,116.3,117.2,117.3,118.3,118.7,119.3,120.5,122.2,123.0,123.0,124.6,125.7,128.1,133.9,134.9,136.2,137.1,137.5,137.5,137.5,137.5,137.5,137.5,137.5,137.5,138.6,140.3,140.8,140.9,141.3,141.3,143.6,145.3,145.7,145.8,157.7,165.7,169.1,169.3,173.0,175.1,176.3]},"wettest":{"year":2020,"cum":[50.7,65.5,65.5,65.8,65.8,65.8,65.8,65.8,65.8,71.3,198.1,219.0,219.7,220.7,221.1,221.2,222.2,223.1,223.2,223.3,228.4,229.0,229.3,230.9,245.8,251.1,259.1,263.5,287.2,310.0,313.8,319.2,326.2,337.3,339.9,340.1,343.1,353.8,365.7,365.9,367.2,368.3,371.0,404.1,421.5,429.8,436.8,437.2,447.1,453.2,455.3,459.4,467.3,474.5,486.2,487.4,488.0,494.4,502.1,504.4,513.0,515.6,523.2,525.0,530.3,549.8,551.6,552.7,558.6,562.3,577.0,578.1,578.8,594.7,605.9,630.4,658.0,665.2,666.0,669.2,681.3,683.4,683.9,685.3,685.6,685.6,685.6,686.4]}}},"price_series":[{"date":"2026-08-24","median_modal":4200,"n_mandis":22},{"date":"2026-08-25","median_modal":3925,"n_mandis":9},{"date":"2026-08-26","median_modal":4100,"n_mandis":8},{"date":"2026-08-27","median_modal":3689,"n_mandis":11}],"sources":{"rainfall":"ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo; 1991-2020 normals (not official IMD figures)","prices":"Agmarknet via data.gov.in (GODL-India)","arrivals":"missing - no free public source"}}